A strong field has been assembled for the South Australian Derby (2500m) this Saturday at Morphettville.

Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2024 South Australian Derby.

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2024 South Australian Derby Speed Map

Can’t find much early speed here outside Air Assault. Glad You Think So can press forward here but the rest of them will likely opt for cover. They don’t look like they will go hard here unless there is a change of tactics.

2024 South Australian Derby Runner Preview:

1. Antrim Coast: He has done a really good job since coming over from NZ. Just not 100% sold on how strong his form lines and the end of 2500m has to be a genuine query. There are enough holes for me to say he’s a risk, especially at around $8.

2. Sunsets: He just hasn’t come up this prep and his recent runs have been quite plain.

3. Air Assault: His only chance of figuring in the finish is if Stubby walks them in front. But being a Derby, big field, I doubt that is going to eventuate and with that, I can’t entertain him.

4. Bold Soul: Bold Soul is on top for me in what looks a strong SA Derby. He won the Chairmans last Saturday, and what I liked about the win is that he got better as the race went on and savaged the line to get the win. He’ll eat up 2500m and has that sense of timing, and the stable did win the race last year. Hard to beat.

5. Gold Wolf: They rode him with a sit at Caulfield and he reacted big time to it, letting down with a brilliant finale and relished the 2400m. He’ll love a truly run 2500m, he maps to do no work…I think he is clear overs against these and can certainly win.

6. Glad You Think So: He looked gone after a second up flop but he has bounced back, his latest run being a beauty in the Australian Derby after leading. That has to be A1 form for this, he can press forward and keep chipping away. Knockout hope.

7. Warmonger: Warmonger has to be given serious respect. Price/Kent trained galloper that went within a lip of winning the Port Adelaide Guineas before racing in the Chairmans last Saturday…well, I wouldn’t say he raced. It was a barrier trial. Zero intent with the ride and duly clocked the best late splits of the race. More positive ride, up to 2500m, he’s clearly going to be around the mark.

8. Outovostock: Progressive, nice horse on the up…but the gate makes things tricky and the depth of his form in NZ, at this stage, is suspect.

9. A Samurai Mind: A Samurai Mind is a nice horse and is one of the better local chances. He took on the older horses over 1950m two weeks back on the Parks track and was brave in defeat but had to settle for a second to a Victorian raider in Hoops. He’s been set for this race since day one and although he likely spots them a start, he should be strong at the end.

10. Shinjuku: Been set for the race. Five weeks break after the Alister Clark before going to the Chairmans last Saturday and was very good given the set up. Maps to do no work and with good upside/improvement, he appeals as a winning threat.

11. Just Berrilliant: He came from nowhere to run an absolute blinder in the Chairmans, finishing off strongly to run second to Bold Soul. Can he repeat the dose? If so, he’s in the mix.

12. Tulsa King: He should love the rise to 2500m. He comes through the Chairmans where he got back and while he was never a winning threat really, but his finale was very good with this in mind. The gate makes things hard but he’ll be strong late.

13. Steel Blaze: Ran well in the Chairmans last Saturday but I just don’t think he’s quite good enough.

14. Warialda Warrior: He’s eligible for much easier races than this, and that is where best suits him.

15. Coco Sun: Why is she favourite? I am stunned the push she has received in betting. Yes, she kept finding the line in the Oaks last Saturday , but it wasn’t exactly a vintage Oaks and there has to be a genuine query on her at 2500m. If she wins, I am losing on the race.

16. Ahuriri: This is the filly I am warming to. It was an average St Leger field at Flemington but she was arrogant the way she put them away when ridden with intent. If Williams rides with similar intent here, she’ll be strong late, she’s in form, Waller polish…she’s right in the mix.

17. Zakouma (First Emergency): Still a maiden.

18. Maputo (Second Emergency): Okay in the St Leger but he’s not up to these.

19. Just Explosive (Third Emergency): Not up to this level of race.

2024 South Australian Derby $100 Betting Strategy:

$100 Boxed First Four = 5.95% with the numbers 4-5-6-7-9-10-12-16

Group l Strategy Outlay: $6325
Group l Strategy Return: $5349

2024 South Australian Derby Odds:

1. Antrim Coast (6)

J: Michael Dee

T: Stephen Marsh

2. Sunsets (3)

J: Jacob Opperman

T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

3. Air Assault (13)

J: Jason Holder

T: Andrew Gluyas

4. Bold Soul (12)

J: Jake Noonan

T: Patrick Payne

5. Gold Wolf (1)

J: Neil Farley

T: D & C Feek

6. Glad You Think So (15)

J: Blake Shinn

T: J G Sargent

7. Warmonger (14)

J: Damian Lane

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

8. Outovstock (18)

J: Opie Bosson

T: Chad Ormsby

9. A Samurai Mind (5)

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Dan Clarken & Oopy Macgillivray

10. Shinjuku (2)

J: Todd Pannell

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

11. Just Berrilliant (7)

J: Jeffrey Maund

T: Ricky Maund

12. Tulsa King (17)

J: Jake Toeroek

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

13. Steel Blaze (8)

J: Dom Tourneur

T: B M Lazzarini

14. Warialda Warrior (16)

J: Darryl Mclellan

T: John Ramsey

15. Coco Sun (10)

J: Jamie Kah

T: T & C Mcevoy

16. Ahuriri (11)

J: Craig Williams

T: Chris Waller

17. Zakouma (4)

J: Unknown

T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker

18. Maputo (19)

J: Rhys Mcleod

T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker

19. Just Explosive (9)

J: Unknown

T: Simon Zahra