While money laundering is one risk in Australia’s housing market, another one is purely home grown.
“If you look at household debt to income in Australia, globally, incredibly high, and if you look at the value of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets, globally, incredibly high,” notes APRA chair John Lonsdale.
“And so those two factors [mean APRA is] very, very focused on housing.”
Mr Lonsdale says the regulator is conscious of balancing the systemic risks with the need for individual home buyers to be able to access a home loan.
“One of the big tools that we use is macroprudential tools, and there are various tools that we’ve got – from buffers, counter-cyclical buffer, we’ve got a serviceability buffer, which is often in the news, and we can impose credit restrictions if we need to,” he explains.
“We will be putting out a new macroprudential statement before the end of the year, just how we’re seeing that.
“But there’s considerable risks that we see on the horizon, and that’s a big tool that we’ve got, which is currently set at 3% it impacts housing.
“But just to finish off on that point, that particular setting is set at a system wide level, and we’re very aware that there are borrowers out there who might not be able to pass that test.
“So what we say to the banks is, if you see the borrower – maybe they’re a first time buyer, maybe there’s someone refinancing and mortgage, they’ve got a good track record – you’ve got an exception according to risk appetite. There is that exception [to approve the loan].”
My colleague Nassim Khadem recently took a look at some of the regulatory hurdles that many home buyers are facing and whether there is scope for change or whether that would add too much risk to the financial sector.