Australian News Today

How the Aussies can salvage unlikely Gabba win

How the Aussies can salvage unlikely Gabba win

Although a draw is far and away the most likely outcome for this third Test, the Aussies can still win.

But they’ll need all the help from the both the weather and the cricket gods.

First, let’s look at the forecast. BoM is predicting about 30mm to fall today, likely in the late morning and afternoon. There’s also the chance of a “possibly severe” thunderstorm this afternoon. Should that happen, this is where the day ends.

But if the weather gods cooperate and the rain stays away, this is how the Aussies can win this Test.

First, they’ll need to take this final Indian wicket ASAP. Let’s hope Steve Smith is awake in the slips this morning.

Given India avoided the follow-on yesterday, so the Aussies will obviously need to bat again. With a lead of only 193, Pat Cummins will probably want a few more on the board so he can afford to be attacking with his field.

The Aussies might bat for an hour and go hard – try and push that lead as close to 300 as possible. The last thing they would need is to give India any glimpse of a shock fourth innings chase, a la Amazing Adelaide. The Indian tail proved last night batting on this Gabba wicket isn’t impossible.

Then, the Aussies will need to bowl out of their skins to skittle the Indians in a day. It’s day five, but given how much time has been lost in this Test, this Gabba wicket isn’t a day five pitch.

Josh Hazlewood’s absence makes that even more of a tall order. Pat Cummins and Mitchell Starc will be the two main spearheads, and Nathan Lyon and Mitch Marsh will also be required to bowl a lot of overs. Cummins might even throw the ball to Travis Head for an over or two – he’s better than your average part-time bowler and has a history of taking wickets.

Should the Aussies take all 11 wickets needed today, it’ll be the biggest miracle since Moses opened for Jerusalem.

Nathan Lyon will need to bowl a lot of overs on day five … if we get a full day’s play. Getty