After a thrilling week in Mexico at the World Wide Technologies Championship, the PGA Tour heads to another coastal golf course for the 2024 Butterfield Bermuda Championship. This event is another relatively new addition to the Fall Swing, debuting in 2019, and has been held at Port Royal Golf Course for the past five years. Originally constructed to be an alternate event opposite the WGC HSBC Championship, the tournament was elevated in 2021 to a standalone event as the result of successive cancellations of the WGC due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Yet the standard during the Fall swing is that most of the PGA Tour’s best players are using this time to rest up, and the Butterfield is no different. In four of the five years of its short history, we have seen a winner north of 80-1, and the lack of any superstar talent has opened the door for a slew of more unheralded champions. Still, Mackenzie Hughes, Maverick McNealy, Ben Griffin and former champions Seamus Power and Brendon Todd will headline the field this week in Bermuda, and windy conditions should induce an exciting finish.

Ben Griffin was right in the mix on Sunday to collect his first PGA Tour victory at the 2022 Bermuda Championship, and I expect the 28-year-old to be right there again in 2024. Griffin ranks top-ten in this field on coastal golf courses, short golf courses, windy conditions and strokes gained total in the Fall Swing. Port Royal is the perfect venue for Griffin to finally get over the hump.

Fade: Patrick Rodgers, $9,500:

Orlando Ramirez

Patrick Rodgers has had success at this event in the past, but $9,500 is a hefty price to pay for such an inconsistent player. Rodgers is still a below average approach player, and he has lost strokes in both ball-striking categories in each of his last two measured starts.

$8,000 range Play: Nick Taylor, $8,300:

Lintao Zhang

Nick Taylor is certainly undervalued in this field based on pedigree alone, and I was surprised to see him not priced in the $9,000 range this week. A proven winner on the PGA Tour in much stronger fields, Taylor actually plays some of his best golf on shorter, coastal tracks where wind is the greatest defense. Outside of a 23rd-place finish at Port Royal in 2022, Taylor has also notched a win at Pebble Beach, and he is coming off the Zozo Championship where he gained over a stroke in both ball-striking categories.

Fade: Jhonattan Vegas, $8,700:

Jhonattan Vegas was a major disappointment last week, missing the cut at the World Wide Technologies Championship on a golf course that should have been an ideal fit for his skill-set. I am less bullish on Vegas’ chances at Port Royal, as the Robert Trent Jones design de-values elite off the tee play and will put an outsized premium wedge play and putting.

Orlando Ramirez

In two appearances at Port Royal, Greyson Sigg has finished 11th and 22nd, and his success here should not be a surprise given his expertise with short iron approach shots. Sigg ranks first in this field in approach play on shorter golf courses, and I expect the South Carolina native to continue his strong play on another golf course that highly emphasizes wedge play.

Fade: Henrik Norlander, $7,600:

In four appearances at Port Royal, Norlander has missed three cuts and failed to finish in the top-25 in each of his four starts. Norlander played okay last week in Mexico, but something about Port Royal just doesn’t seem to jive with the 37-year-old, and there are far safer options in this price range.

Flier: Ryan Moore, $7,200:

Christian Petersen

Ryan Moore finished fifth at Port Royal last year in his first appearance, and I always have interest in the five-time PGA Tour winner on golf courses that de-value driving distance in exchange for wedge play. Outside of his success at Port Royal, Moore has also played some of his best golf at Pebble Beach, TPC Summerlin, and Sea Island—all golf courses that cater to a similar skill-set.

RELATED: Paul Azinger will be back in broadcast analyst chair in 2025

$6,000 range Play: Roger Sloan, $6,800:

Raj Mehta

Roger Sloan is quietly one of the better wedge players in this field, and he also finished 16th in his last appearance at Port Royal. With the expectation that the course will play more challenging this year in windy conditions, I am certainly giving a boost to the more reliable approach players, and the Canadian is one of the more reliable iron players in the $6,000 range.

Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. He came to Golf Digest’s betting panel after previously writing for Run Pure Sports, RickRunGood.com, the Score and GolfWRX. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports

This article was originally published on golfdigest.com